Table 2

Hypertension and diabetes diagnosis rates, IRRs and difference-in-difference post-ACA versus pre-ACA by Medicaid expansion status

Hypertension diagnosisDiabetes diagnosis
Pre-ACAPostA-ACAPre-ACAPost
-ACA
Non-expansion states
Unadjusted rate per 100 patients per year7.05.50.80.9
Adjusted rate* per 100 patients per year5.55.20.60.7
Post-ACA versus pre-ACA IRR 95% CI0.94 (0.91 to 0.97)†1.28 (1.18 to 1.38) †
Expansion states
Unadjusted rate per 100 patients per year4.74.40.60.7
Adjusted rate* per 100 patients per year4.64.90.70.8
Post-ACAt versus pre-ACA IRR 95% CI1.07 (1.03 to 1.10)†1.25 (1.16 to 1.34) †
Difference in difference (DID)
Expansion versus non-expansion,
DID 95% (CI)
1.14 (1.11 to 1.18)†0.98 (0.91 to 1.05)
  • *Generalised estimating equation Poisson models adjusted for year and primary community health centre patient population demographics (ie, clinic-level distributions of race/ethnicity, sex, age, most frequent insurance coverage and % federal poverty level).

  • †Statistically significant p<0.05.

  • ‡Incidence rate was defined as number of new diagnoses at a clinic over person-time at risk.

  • ACA, Affordable Care Act; CI, confidence interval; IRR, incidence rate ratio.